Current Affairs 14 July 2025
Content : The Changing Landscape of Employment Climate Change and Rural India: A Silent Displacement Crisis India’s Open Ecosystems: Rethinking ‘Wastelands’ India’s Opportunity to Repay Green Revolution Debt How is Mizoram Handling the Refugee Crisis? India’s FGD Rollback: Implications of Exempting 78% of Thermal Power Plants The changing landscape of employment Core Insight: India’s demographic dividend risks turning into a disaster as lakhs of graduates enter the job market without being job-ready, amidst rising automation and a shrinking formal job base. Relevance : GS-3 (Indian Economy) – Issues related to employment, skill development, and job market reforms. Alarming Statistics Indicator Data Youth Share in Unemployment 83% of unemployed are youth – India Employment Report 2024 (ILO + IHD) Formal Workforce (EPFO) >7 crore members; 18–25 age group = 18–22% of new additions Informal Workforce 90% of total employment remains informal Digital Illiteracy Among Youth – 75% can’t send email with attachment – 60% can’t copy-paste files – 90% lack basic spreadsheet skills Job Displacement vs. Creation (2030) – 170M new jobs to be created (14%) – 92M jobs displaced (8%) ➡ Net gain = 78M jobs (7%) – Future of Jobs Report 2025, WEF Core Challenges Unemployability > Unemployment Only 50% of Indian graduates are job-ready – Economic Survey 2023–24 Skill mismatch in digital, professional, and interpersonal domains AI and Automation Threat AI adoption is putting low-to-mid-level IT roles at risk Traditional service jobs in India may not survive next-gen tech transitions Job Quality Crisis Surge in contractual and gig employment without security or benefits Lack of long-term wage growth and poor financial security Skill Infrastructure Deficit Higher education and vocational institutes not aligned with job market needs Few formal linkages between academia and industry Strategic Policy Recommendations Pillar Action Needed Education-Industry Link – Mandatory partnerships for colleges with industry – Accountability for placements, not just degrees Skill-First Curriculum – Universal presence of Idea Labs & Tinker Labs – Compulsory digital + soft skill + foreign language training at all levels Global Skilling Strategy – Design courses aligned with ageing workforce needs in EU, Japan, etc. – Align with initiatives like EU’s Link4Skills, tapping migration corridors Institutional Reform – Create Indian Education Services (IES), equivalent to IAS, to attract top talent into education leadership Open Education Ecosystem – Invite industry professionals to teach/mentor in institutions to bridge theory-practice divide EPFO Data: Formalisation vs. Stability Rise in 18–25 age group enrolments in EPFO indicates push for formal employment. But unclear if these jobs are: Secure Well-paying Long-term Job creation ≠ job quality. The data must be paired with studies on job retention and income growth. The Cost of Inaction Wasted potential: India produces millions of graduates annually, many unemployable. Rising frustration: Educated youth without jobs fuels social unrest, migration, and mental health issues. Lost opportunity: Without global skill alignment, India risks missing out on exporting talent to ageing nations. Vicious cycle: Lack of jobs ➝ underemployment ➝ informal work ➝ no savings ➝ no upward mobility Conclusion India’s employment problem is not just about creating more jobs — it’s about creating relevant, high-quality, future-proof employment. Climate Change and Rural India: A Silent Displacement Crisis Key Observation: Climate change is no longer a future threat — it is actively transforming where and how millions of Indians live, work, and survive. Relevance : GS-1 & GS-3 – Geography (climate impact) and Economy (migration, livelihoods). Bundelkhand: Droughts, Heat, and Exodus Parameter Status Location 13 districts in Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh Climate Impact 🔻 Rainfall, 🔺 Temperature (+2 to +3.5°C by 2100) Drought Frequency 9 droughts (Datia, 1998–2009); 8 in Lalitpur, Mahoba Result Massive male-dominated migration to cities like Delhi, Surat, Bengaluru Impacts: Agricultural failure and indebtedness Occupational shift: from farming to mining & construction Family separation and rising vulnerability of women and children Erosion of village social fabric and school dropout rates “Migration in Bundelkhand is not adaptation — it is a form of crisis-induced displacement.” – Dr. S.S. Jatav, BBAU Charpauli, Bangladesh: Floods and Erosion Parameter Status Location Along the Jamuna river Climate Impact 🔺 Floods & erosion due to rising river discharge Riverbank Erosion Left bank: -12m/year; Right bank: -52m/year (1990–2020) Migration Pattern Permanent displacement to Dhaka, nearby towns Impacts: Entire villages vanish annually into the Jamuna Families move first inland, then migrate completely Shift to agriculture in new villages or informal jobs in cities “Migration becomes the last-resort adaptation when resilience fails.” – Jan Freihardt, ETH Zürich Vidarbha & Marathwada: Heat Stress and Debt Cycles Parameter Status Region Rain shadow zone of the Western Ghats Temperature >50°C in peak May months (Satellite data, 2024) Rainfall Erratic: fewer rainy days, intense bursts, long dry gaps Livelihood Impact Seasonal migration to sugar cane farms in Western Maharashtra & Karnataka Cane Cutter Migrant Life: 4–6 month migration, hired as “koita” couples (husband: cutter, wife: stacker) Advance wage: ₹50,000–₹5 lakh (debt cycle begins) Output requirement: ₹50,000 ÷ ₹367/tonne = 136 tonnes sugar cane to cut Live in makeshift plastic tents, with no water, sanitation, or electricity Seniors (70+) now migrate due to labour shortages “Climate change is pushing people into debt bondage and worsening intergenerational precarity.” – Ankita Bhatkhande, Asar Scale of the Crisis Indicator Data Global Climate Migrants (2022) ~20 million/year (Internal migration) – International Refugee Assistance Project India’s Sugarcane Production (2021) 50 crore tonnes, ₹20,000+ crore revenue Protection for Migrants Weak; migrants face wage theft, health crises, and legal invisibility India lacks a dedicated legal framework for climate-induced internal migration. Adaptation or Displacement? Adaptation (Ideal Scenario): Diversified livelihoods Climate-resilient cropping Social security safety nets Displacement (Current Reality): Loss of land + livelihoods = forced migration Women and elderly disproportionately burdened Children drop out of school or face malnutrition “Migration may appear adaptive, but for many in India, it reflects a collapse of resilience.” — Sayantan Datta Policy Recommendations Area Action Needed Legal Framework Recognize climate migrants as a vulnerable group under national policy Housing & Rights Ensure safe shelters, portable social security, and labour protections Livelihood Resilience Invest in climate-smart agriculture, water access, and MGNREGA coverage Data & Planning Real-time climate–migration data to inform policy at district/state levels Interstate Coordination Protect rights of migrants across source and destination states Bottom Line India is living through a rural climate migration crisis — slow, silent, and scattered. Without urgent legal and policy recognition, millions risk falling into permanent precarity. India’s Open Ecosystems: Rethinking ‘Wastelands’ What Are Open Ecosystems? Open ecosystems refer to grasslands, deserts, scrublands, savannas, and open woodlands — landscapes characterized by low tree cover but high ecological and cultural value. These areas naturally support sparse vegetation due to arid climates or seasonal rainfall patterns. Unlike forests, they are not degraded forests, but distinct biomes with unique ecological functions. Relevance : GS-3 – Environment and Ecology; Land degradation, biodiversity, and sustainable land use. The ‘Wasteland’ Misclassification: A Colonial Legacy Official Label Ecological Reality “Wasteland” (as per Wasteland Atlas of India) Functional ecosystems with biodiversity, soil carbon, and pastoralist activity ~55.76 million hectares (16.96% of India’s land) Includes deserts, grasslands, scrub, coastal sand dunes Wastelands = ‘land to be fixed’ Actually = land to be preserved and stewarded Policy contradiction: While private real estate glorifies open green spaces (e.g., “Savana Villas”), India’s natural open landscapes are ignored or targeted for conversion. Why Deserts and Open Lands Matter Global Significance: Deserts cover ~33% of Earth’s land area. Host ancient civilizations (e.g., Indus Valley, Mesopotamia). Enable climate resilience through adapted flora and fauna. India-Specific Examples: Thar Desert (Rajasthan): Indigenous species like the Great Indian Bustard, caracal, desert fox. Banni Grasslands (Gujarat): Among Asia’s largest, now degraded by afforestation and invasive species. Pastoralist Communities: Stewards of Open Lands Community Region Dhangars Maharashtra Rabaris Gujarat Kurubas Karnataka Raikas Rajasthan Over 13 million pastoralists in India depend on open ecosystems for seasonal grazing. Their mobility and grazing cycles contribute to regenerative land use, seed dispersal, and biodiversity conservation. Afforestation on grasslands and fencing off commons disrupts both ecology and livelihoods. Greenwashing Concerns: Tree Planting ≠ Restoration Risks of Monoculture Afforestation: Reduces native biodiversity Alters hydrology and groundwater Converts carbon-rich soil systems into carbon-poor plantation zones Promotes Prosopis juliflora and eucalyptus, which degrade open biomes Instead, Promote: Rotational grazing Natural regeneration Check dams & water harvesting Pastoralist land governance Policy Roadmap: Recognising Open Ecosystems Priority Recommendation Reclassify lands Replace “wasteland” with “open ecosystem” in land-use maps Protect rights Recognize community tenure of pastoralist groups Incentivize carbon Reward soil carbon storage over tree carbon Embrace traditional knowledge Promote indigenous water and land management Reframe global language Change “World Day to Combat Desertification” to “World Day to Combat Land Degradation” Bottom Line “Deserts are not empty — they are alive, thriving, and culturally rich. Preserving them is not anti-development, but a climate-smart, justice-based environmental policy.” India’s Opportunity to Repay Green Revolution Debt From Recipient to Contributor India, once a major beneficiary of foreign agricultural assistance during the 1960s Green Revolution, now possesses the institutional and technological capacity to become a global contributor in agricultural R&D. With self-sufficiency achieved in wheat production, India is in a position to support international efforts—especially in developing countries facing similar challenges. Relevance : GS-2 & GS-3 – International Relations (South-South cooperation) and Agriculture R&D. Leadership in Wheat Innovation Indian agricultural research institutions have developed and scaled multiple high-yielding wheat varieties. Varieties like DBW187, DBW303, HD2967, HD3086 now dominate cultivation across millions of hectares. Research hubs such as IIWBR (Karnal), PAU (Ludhiana), and ICAR institutes play a leading role in this transformation. Strategic Opportunity for India As global funding for agricultural research declines, India has an opportunity to: Strengthen partnerships with international institutions like CIMMYT and IRRI Support research on climate-resilient crops and food security in the Global South Expand its soft power through agri-diplomacy and development cooperation Key Implications Transitioning from aid recipient to knowledge donor improves India’s global development profile. Agricultural assistance programs can be an extension of India’s South-South cooperation model. Investment in global research ensures preparedness against future food and climate crises. Policy Recommendations Create a formal International Agricultural R&D Support Mission led by Indian institutions. Allocate strategic funding to global wheat and rice research, especially in Africa and South Asia. Leverage public-private partnerships to commercialize and share India-developed crop innovations globally. How is Mizoram Handling the Refugee Crisis? Context: Refugee Influx from Myanmar Since February 2021, Myanmar has witnessed a military coup, triggering a civil war and ethnic conflicts. Over 40,000 refugees have crossed into Mizoram, especially from the Chin State of Myanmar, with recent influxes seen in Champhai district. The latest wave (July 2025) brought ~4,000 more refugees due to clashes between two anti-junta armed groups: Chin National Defence Force (CNDF) Chinland Defence Force-Hualngohm (CDF-H) Relevance : GS-2 – Polity and Governance; refugee management, Centre-State relations, and internal security. Why Mizoram? Ethnic Affinity: The refugees (Chins) share ethnic ties with Mizos; culturally and linguistically similar. Geographic Proximity: Chin State borders Mizoram; proximity to the conflict zones enables easier crossing. Humanitarian Tradition: Mizoram has historically sheltered fleeing ethnic groups from Bangladesh, Myanmar, and Manipur (Kuki-Zos). Timeline of Refugee Movements & Policy Evolution 1. Historic Background 1968–2004: Free Movement Regime (FMR) allowed cross-border travel up to 16 km; it was reduced from 40 km in 2004. 2016: FMR regulated; further restrictions imposed. 2024: MHA announced FMR suspension citing security concerns. 2. Post-2021 Influx Massive inflow post-coup; Chin National Army lost ground to pro-democracy forces → civilians fled. As of July 6, 2025: 3,890 Myanmar nationals recorded in Zokhawthar Spread across Zokhawthar, Khawmawi, Saisihnuam Central vs State Dynamics Aspect Mizoram Government Central Government Position Pro-refugee, citing ethnic and humanitarian grounds Restrictive, citing national security Actions Cash, relief camps, housing, refusal to evict refugees 28 crore aid, warning to stop refugee intake Conflict Ignored MHA order to evict refugees Accused Mizoram of altering demographics Civil society and organisations like Young Mizo Association (YMA), Churches, and student bodies have provided significant ground-level support. Refugee management is mostly local, decentralized, and supported by donations and voluntary contributions. Legal and Administrative Framework India is not a signatory to the 1951 Refugee Convention or its 1967 Protocol. No national refugee law — refugees are treated under the Foreigners Act, 1946. Lack of clear refugee identification and rights creates legal ambiguity. Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) retains control over international migration; states have limited jurisdiction. Ground-Level Realities in Mizoram Displacement hubs: Champhai, Zokhawthar, and border towns have seen the highest numbers. Living conditions: Improvised shelters, local integration, school access (in some cases), but high dependency on aid. Security risks: Intelligence reports warn about armed groups’ presence. Border militarisation may affect India-Myanmar ties. Broader Strategic Implications Domestic Strains Centre-State relations on federal responsibilities in managing cross-border migration. Highlights need for refugee protection law balancing national security and humanitarian obligations. Regional Border policy inconsistency impacts ties with Myanmar, especially with changes in junta control. Rising refugee influx from Bangladesh (Rohingyas), Myanmar (Chins), and Manipur (Kuki-Zos) reflects worsening stability in the Eastern neighborhood. Key Policy Recommendations Codify a National Refugee Law: Define refugee status Lay down rights and responsibilities Establish standard operating procedures Institutional Coordination: Create joint task forces between MHA and northeastern states for managing cross-border flows. Reinstate a Humanitarian FMR-lite: Controlled, tech-monitored travel for cross-border ethnic kin during crises. Leverage International Aid: Coordinate with UNHCR/ASEAN for refugee assistance, without compromising sovereignty Invest in Border State Capacities: Infrastructure, healthcare, digital ID systems for refugees, and local employment schemes. Key Numbers (as of July 2025) Indicator Value Total Refugees (post-2021) ~40,000 Latest influx (July 2025) ~4,000 Myanmar nationals in Zokhawthar (Champhai) 3,890 Government relief fund ₹28 crore Official camps with FGDs Very few – mostly informal, community-led India’s FGD Rollback: Implications of Exempting 78% of Thermal Power Plants Context The Union Environment Ministry has exempted 78% of India’s 600 thermal power plant (TPP) units from installing Flue Gas Desulphurisation (FGD) systems. FGD systems are critical for reducing sulphur dioxide (SO₂) emissions, a precursor to acid rain and particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution. Only about 11% of thermal plants — those in high-density/population areas — are still mandated to install FGD systems. Relevance : GS-3 – Environment and Energy; air pollution, public health, and emission standards. What are FGDs and Why Do They Matter? Feature Description Purpose Reduces SO₂ emissions by up to 95% from coal combustion Mechanism Uses limestone slurry or seawater to scrub sulphur oxides from flue gas Relevance SO₂ contributes to PM2.5 formation, acid rain, respiratory and cardiac diseases Global Practice Mandatory in China, US, EU for all coal-fired plants since early 2000s India’s Thermal Power Pollution Profile Indicator Value Total TPPs ~180 (comprising 600+ units) Share in electricity ~72% of total generation (as of 2025) Share in SO₂ emissions ~51% of all industrial SO₂ Plants with FGD installed Only 8% (mostly NTPC-run) Exempted units post-policy ~468 units (78%) Key Policy Update (July 2025) Category Criteria FGD Mandate Category A Within 10 km of NCR or Tier-1 cities Mandatory Category B Within 10 km of Critically Polluted Areas (CPAs) or Non-Attainment Cities (NACs) Case-by-case Category C All others Exempted Result: Only ~11% (Category A) will remain under FGD norms. Basis for Exemption: What Experts Said The government relied on recommendations of a scientific panel led by Principal Scientific Adviser Ajay Sood: Claimed Indian coal has low sulphur content Found no major SO₂ difference in areas with or without FGDs Argued that sulphates suppress warming, so removing SO₂ may increase net radiative forcing Counterarguments by Public Health & Environmental Experts Argument Response “Indian coal is low in sulphur” But still emits enough SO₂ to drive PM2.5 in hotspots “FGDs don’t improve local air quality” Air quality impact depends on meteorology; long-range transport of SO₂ is well documented “Sulphates cool the planet” True — but co-benefits of SO₂ do not outweigh public health costs (respiratory illness, strokes) “FGDs are costly” Health costs of SO₂ are 5x higher than installation costs (per WHO/ICMR studies) Global Standards vs India’s Position Country FGD Mandate Implementation China Mandatory since 2005 95%+ compliance USA Under Clean Air Act Applied to >90% of coal plants Germany FGD since 1983 Complete compliance India First mandated in 2015, now diluted in 2025 78% exempted Implications of the Decision Environmental: Higher SO₂ emissions → elevated secondary particulate matter (sulphates) Weakens India’s commitment to air quality improvement under NCAP Potential rise in acid rain impacting crops, soil, monuments Public Health: Risk of increased respiratory and cardiovascular illnesses Higher disease burden in rural areas near exempted plants Economic: Disincentivises green tech investment in the power sector Short-term relief for discoms & thermal producers, but long-term cost-shifting to health sector Global Commitments: May impact India’s COP pledges on emissions intensity Could weaken diplomatic stance on climate finance and clean tech if domestic credibility erodes Way Forward: Balancing Power and Pollution Reprioritise Targeted FGDs: Mandate for plants near dense populations, agricultural belts, and ecological hotspots. Subsidised Technology Deployment: Viability gap funding for older plants; tie to ESG-linked financing. Integrated Emissions Tracking: Mandatory online SO₂, NOx, PM reporting on public dashboard. Health Cost Valuation: Incorporate externalities into tariff-setting by CERC. Accelerate Renewables: Reduce dependence on coal by scaling solar-wind-battery hybrids.