Editorials/Opinions Analysis For UPSC 02 January 2026
Content Mob rule Between India and EU, a carbon gap and an FTA bridge Hate-linked Vigilantism Why in News? Late-2025 saw multiple mob-violence incidents across Kerala, Odisha, Tamil Nadu, Uttarakhand and elsewhere where Indian citizens — mostly migrant workers and students — were falsely branded as “Bangladeshis” or “Chinese” and attacked. The pattern reflects: Rising xenophobic profiling based on language, region, appearance, or presumed nationality. A spill-over from political rhetoric on “illegal infiltration”, particularly in election-bound regions. Relevance GS-II (Polity & Governance) Vulnerable sections, constitutional morality, rule of law, federal policing responsibility Role of civil services, Centre–State coordination in law & order GS-III (Internal Security) Social tensions, misinformation, mob mobilisation through digital platforms Impact on labour mobility, urban security, and economic activity Practice Question Mob violence poses a serious challenge to constitutional morality and rule of law in India. Examine the structural causes behind the recent surge in identity-linked mob attacks and suggest institutional reforms to address them. (250 Words) What is Happening? Mob violence / lynching = extra-judicial killing/assault by a group claiming to enforce “suspicion-based justice”. Victims in these cases: Indian internal migrants and youth from the Northeast, Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh etc. Trigger factors: identity demands, accent/language suspicion, racialised stereotypes, rumours amplified through social media. Scale, Patterns & Data Internal migration: Census 2011 — 45.6 crore migrants (~37% of population); 2020-25 estimates place internal migrants at 55–60 crore. High-dependence states for migrant labour: Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Gujarat. Hate/mob crimes data: NCRB does not maintain a separate “lynching” category; such crimes appear under murder/rioting/assault. Independent trackers (academia/civil society) show post-2015 rise in identity-linked mob violence, especially where rumours of theft, cow-related suspicion, or “illegal immigrant” labels are invoked. Northeast discrimination trend: Multiple commissions have highlighted racial slurs, stereotyping, and targeted assaults against people from Northeastern states in metros. (Data caveat: absence of a statutory category means under-reporting and classification gaps.) Drivers — What Explains the Spike? Political narrative effects Election-time messaging around “illegal infiltration” (Bangladesh-linked) normalises suspicion against Bengali-speaking and migrant communities. Stereotyping & racialisation Northeastern Indians misidentified as “foreigners/Chinese”; linguistic profiling of workers from Bengal/Odisha. Weak deterrence Slow trials, poor investigation quality, low conviction in crowd-violence cases → mob impunity. Digital rumours & performative violence Filming and circulating assaults on social media → copy-cat behaviour and mob mobilisation. Labour precarity Migrant workers lack documents, networks, and bargaining power, increasing vulnerability to vigilante suspicion. Legal–Constitutional Lens Fundamental rights violated: Art. 14 (equality), Art. 15 (non-discrimination), Art. 19(1)(d)/(e) (movement/residence), Art. 21 (life & dignity). Applicable penal provisions: IPC/CrPC: 302 (murder), 307 (attempt to murder), 323/325 (hurt), 341/342 (wrongful restraint), 153A, 295A, 505 (hate speech & provocation), criminal conspiracy, unlawful assembly. Supreme Court — Tehseen Poonawalla (2018) guidelines: State nodal officers, preventive policing, fast-track trials, victim compensation, accountability of district administration. Implementation remains patchy. State-level initiatives (uneven): Anti-lynching bills/ordinances proposed or passed in some states (e.g., Rajasthan, Jharkhand, Manipur) — national framework still absent. Governance & Security Implications Internal security: fear among migrants → labour shortages, informalisation, social unrest in host states. Federal labour economy: sectors such as construction, hospitality, logistics, plantations depend heavily on migrants — violence threatens supply chains. Social cohesion: normalisation of vigilantism erodes rule of law and police legitimacy. Human rights & international image: recurring mob violence undermines India’s constitutional morality and commitments to equality and dignity. Editorial Overview Rhetoric around “infiltrators” creates moral licence for mobs to police identities. Policing responses limited to post-facto arrests rather than preventive intelligence, hotspot monitoring, and narrative correction. Absence of centralised data & statutory category prevents targeted policy action. Way Forward — Policy & Administrative Actions Implement SC anti-lynching guidelines in letter and spirit; designate nodal officers and district-level tasking. Create a statutory offence of mob lynching with command-responsibility and time-bound trial provisions. Data architecture: NCRB to add distinct categories for hate/mob crimes; disaggregate by motive and victim profile. Police reforms: Rumour-control protocols, social-media monitoring, early-warning grids in migrant-dense localities. Witness/victim protection & compensation. Political and civic messaging: bipartisan condemnation; avoidance of xenophobic election rhetoric; community outreach with employers and labour contractors. Migrant inclusion measures: registration, helplines, inter-state coordination cells, awareness of legal rights; grievance kiosks at workplaces and transport hubs. Education & sensitisation: anti-discrimination campaigns in schools, workplaces, and transport systems — especially regarding Northeast communities and inter-state migrants. Between India and EU, a carbon gap and an FTA bridge Why in News? From 1 January 2026, the EU will start imposing full tariffs under the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) on imports of steel, aluminium, cement, fertilizers, electricity, hydrogen, etc. Indian steel and aluminium exports to the EU already face higher compliance costs under the transition phase since October 2023. CBAM is emerging as a trade barrier + climate instrument, impacting India–EU trade, FTA negotiations, industrial competitiveness, and carbon pricing strategy. Relevance GS-III (Economy | Environment | Industry) Green industrial transition, trade-climate nexus, carbon pricing, competitiveness Impact on steel, aluminium and MSME supply chains Practice Question CBAM represents the emergence of climate-aligned protectionism in global trade. Analyse its likely impact on India’s export competitiveness and suggest a policy roadmap for adaptation and resilience. (250 Words) What is CBAM? CBAM is the EU’s mechanism to equalise carbon costs between: EU producers covered under EU-ETS (carbon pricing) Foreign exporters whose countries lack similar carbon pricing. Importers must purchase CBAM certificates proportional to the embedded emissions during production. Covers only Scope-1 & Scope-2 emissions (fuel + electricity used in production). Transport and downstream emissions are excluded. Goal: Prevent carbon leakage (firms shifting production to low-regulation countries) and protect EU industry. What Changes for India? The tax may reduce 16–22% of the price actually received by Indian exporters due to: certificate cost, compliance expenses, buyer price discounts, renegotiated contracts. In FY2025, exports of Indian steel & aluminium to EU = $5.8 billion — already down 24% YoY, despite no carbon tax yet → anticipatory compliance burden. EU buyers are demanding lower prices upfront to hedge expected CBAM costs. How CBAM Liability is Calculated ? Benchmark EU carbon price ≈ €80 per tonne of CO₂ If exporters don’t submit verified plant-level data: EU applies default emission values (30–80% higher) → increases payable tax. From 2026, emissions must be ISO-14065 verified by EU-approved auditors → increases compliance cost. Sector-wise Impact Steel — Highest Risk Blast Furnace–Basic Oxygen Furnace (BF-BOF): Highest emissions → CBAM burden ~€80–€120 per tonne Could raise costs by 50–70%. Gas-based Direct Reduced Iron (DRI): Lower CBAM hit. Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) using scrap: lowest burden — favoured by CBAM. Aluminium Electricity-intensive → emissions linked to grid carbon factor. EU share in India’s aluminium exports ≈ 10% of global trade exposure. Competitiveness Comparison China’s carbon price ≈ 10% of EU level → much lower CBAM pass-through. Rich countries can absorb climate costs better → competitive asymmetry. Key Economic Effects Highlighted Pricing pressure on exporters (buyers discount prices to offset CBAM). Contract renegotiations and reopening of long-term supply agreements. Shift in supply chains toward: low-carbon technology, scrap-based/EAF routes, relocation to countries with carbon pricing alignment. Compliance & Governance Gaps Many firms lack: plant-level emissions measurement systems, verifiable data & auditors, internal carbon accounting. Risk of exporters relying on default EU emission factors → higher tax liability. Opportunities if India Responds Strategically Firms that measure accurately, verify early, and decarbonise can: retain margins, avoid deep price cuts, secure contracts via carbon-differentiated pricing. CBAM can act as a push factor for low-carbon industrial transition. Broader Trade & Policy Implications CBAM overlaps with India–EU FTA negotiations: India seeks market access + rules discipline. EU uses CBAM as climate-trade conditionality. The editorial frames CBAM also as: industrial protection + revenue generation tool for the EU, not merely a climate instrument. Strategic Risks for India Export erosion in high-emission sectors. Rising compliance costs → affects MSME suppliers. Possible trade diversion away from EU. Competitive disadvantage without: domestic carbon market, industrial decarbonisation incentives. Policy Priorities for India Domestic Carbon Pricing / Carbon Market (phased, industry-linked). Green steel pathway: EAF transition, scrap recycling, hydrogen pilots. National MRV framework: plant-level Measurement–Reporting–Verification. Financial support for energy-efficient retrofits. FTA strategy: secure transition support, mutual recognition of carbon accounting systems. Data ecosystem: emissions registries, verified auditors, standardised protocols. Critical Assessment CBAM reflects climate-aligned protectionism — climate goal + competitiveness shield. For India, the risk is not only tax burden but structural competitiveness loss if industrial decarbonisation lags. Early compliance + technology transition is economically superior to late adjustment.