Editorials/Opinions Analysis For UPSC 09 December 2024
Content: A good beginning but China negotiations must continue The issue of India’s economic growth versus emissions A Good Beginning but China Negotiations Must Continue Context : The External Minister highlighted the disengagement process in Eastern Ladakh post-China’s 2020 intrusions. Relevance: GS 2( International relations) Practice Question: Explain current status of India-China border disengagement . Suggest measures for long-term peace and stability along the LAC.(250 Words) Disengagement yet to complete: Buffer Zones: Indirectly acknowledged but with limited details on their nature and extent. Disengagement prioritization lacks urgency for the termination of these “temporary measures.” De-escalation and Management: While disengagement has progressed, de-escalation and effective management remain incomplete. Peace and Tranquility Link: India reiterated that normalcy at the border is a prerequisite for better bilateral ties. Current troop deployments continue, indicating a lack of restored normalcy. No Reset in Relations: Despite some improvement, no major progress is evident due to persistent structural challenges. Economic integration with China, despite its history of weaponizing dependencies, was criticized. Unanswered Questions Ambiguities in Disengagement Terms: Limited clarity on patrolling rights and buffer zone arrangements: Will traditional patrolling points in Depsang and Demchok be fully accessible to Indian troops? Unclear “coordinated patrolling” mechanisms and restrictions on Indian patrols. Changed Status Quo: China’s post-2020 alterations of the LAC challenge the earlier status quo. The creation of “temporary buffer zones” may have territorial implications for India. Restoration of patrolling and grazing rights remains a priority. Policy Shift on Status Quo Ante: The Chief of Army Staff still emphasizes April 2020 as the benchmark for the status quo, while MEA statements have moved away from this. Implications China’s Grey Zone Tactics:Incremental territorial gains through buffer zones align with China’s grey zone strategy. Need for Consensus: Greater transparency and bipartisan cooperation are crucial for robust negotiations. Economic Security Concerns: Threat of China weaponizing supply chain. Way Forward Restore Status Quo Ante: End buffer zones; reinstate patrolling rights. Withdraw troops to April 2020 positions. Ensure Transparency: Share disengagement terms publicly. Regular bipartisan briefings on India-China developments. Tackle Structural Challenges: Prioritize border normalization for improved ties. Safeguard national security before pursuing economic integration. Unite Strategically: Build political consensus for stronger negotiations. The Issue of India’s Economic Growth Versus Emissions Intro : Decoupling is the process of breaking the link between economic growth and environmental degradation which is key step for sustainable development. Relevance: GS 3( Environment) Practice Question: What is Decoupling and explain how it is important in sustainable development (250 Words ) Types: Absolute Decoupling: Economic growth with decreasing emissions. Relative Decoupling: Economic growth surpassing emissions growth. India’s Claim of Decoupling Data Source: Economic Survey (2023-24) states GDP grew at 7% CAGR (2005-2019), while emissions grew at 4% CAGR. Nature: The survey does not clarify if this is absolute or relative decoupling. Indicators: From 1990, India’s GDP grew six-fold while GHG emissions tripled, signifying relative decoupling. Sectoral Insights Key Sectors: Agriculture and manufacturing are major emission contributors. Observation: Growth rates in sectoral gross value added (GVA) have outpaced emission growth, indicating sectoral relative decoupling. Significance of Relative Decoupling Sustainable Growth: Indicates progress in balancing economic growth and emissions. Challenges: Emissions continue to rise, limiting India’s ability to claim absolute decoupling. Barriers to Absolute Decoupling Economic Stage: As a developing country, India has not yet peaked its emissions, making absolute decoupling a distant goal. Growth Imperative: Addressing poverty, energy access, and living standards necessitates economic growth, often tied to emissions. Policy Imperatives Renewable Energy: Accelerate the shift to low-carbon energy sources. Emission Mitigation: Implement policies targeting GHG reduction across sectors. Sustainable Practices: Promote green technologies and sustainable industrial practices. Green Growth vs. Degrowth: Green Growth: Sustainable development alongside economic expansion. Degrowth: Reducing economic activity to minimize resource use (less practical for India). India’s Position: Aims to reconcile growth with climate goals, a challenging but necessary balancing act.