Current Affairs 29 November 2025
Content India posts 8.2% Q2 GDP growth, tops six quarters Kerala’s population to rise till 2041, then fall: report NISAR earth observation satellite enters final science phase WHO calls on countries to make fertility care safer and affordable CPCB reports heavy metal contamination in Delhi’s groundwater Bharat NCAP 2.0 draft released by MoRTH India posts 8.2% Q2 GDP growth, tops six quarters Why is this in News? India’s GDP grew 8.2% in Q2 (July–September) FY26, the highest in six quarters. Growth higher than Q1 FY26 (7.8%) and Q2 FY25 (5.6%). Released by MOSPI. Comes days after the IMF graded India’s national accounts ‘C’, citing methodology and data quality concerns. Nominal GDP grew only 8.7%, much lower than the 10.1% assumed in Budget → fiscal consolidation challenge. Relevance GS 3 – Economy • Real vs nominal GDP, GDP deflator, inflation trends and interpretation. • Fiscal policy: implications of low nominal GDP on fiscal deficit. • Investment trends: GFCF, PLI incentives, public vs private capex. • External sector: exports (manufacturing & services), global demand dynamics. • Monetary policy: RBI decisions in context of low inflation and high real growth. • Data quality & methodology: IMF Article IV concerns, outdated base year, WPI-heavy deflator. GS 2 – Governance / Policy Implementation • Policy evaluation: effectiveness of manufacturing incentives (PLI) and public capex. • Implications for fiscal planning and administrative decision-making. Basics Real GDP Adjusts for inflation. Indicates actual increase in production. India’s real GDP = 8.2%. Nominal GDP Measured at current prices, includes inflation. India’s nominal GDP = 8.7%. Indicates tepid inflation + weaker pricing power. GDP Deflator Ratio of nominal to real GDP. Current deflator very low due to fall in commodity & manufacturing prices. IMF & economists argue: WPI-heavy deflator undervalues service inflation → inflates real GDP artificially. What Drove the 8.2% Growth? Manufacturing Strong rebound due to: Lower input costs. PLI-led expansions. Electronics, pharmaceuticals, auto components growth. Services IT, financial services, real estate, logistics driving expansion. Consumption linked services show steady recovery. Investment GFCF up, indicating strong capex. Public capital expenditure continues to dominate; private capex recovery modest but improving. Agriculture Weak due to erratic monsoon & El Niño legacy effects. What Are the Concerns? Low Nominal GDP (8.7%) When real GDP > nominal GDP, deflator becomes abnormally low. Scholars argue: Real growth appears overstated, actual economic activity “subdued”. Manufacturing disinflation artificially boosts real growth. Fiscal Deficit Pressure Designed around 10.1% nominal GDP increase. Lower nominal growth → higher deficit-to-GDP ratio risk. Data Quality Issues IMF’s ‘C’ grade — second-lowest category. Issues flagged: Outdated base year (2011-12). Discrepancies between production and expenditure GDP. WPI-heavy deflator inappropriate for a services-dominant economy. Uneven Recovery Consumption weak for lower-income households. Rural distress visible in FMCG, diesel demand, MGNREGA reliance. Credit growth slowing in MSMEs. Scholarly Views Upasna Bhardwaj (Kotak) High real growth → “deflator effect”. Nominal GDP suggests underlying weakness in economic momentum. Madan Sabnavis (Bank of Baroda) Low nominal growth complicates achieving 4.4% fiscal deficit target. IMF Assessment (Article IV) Data quality issues hamper surveillance. Urges new base year, service price indices. Government Position PM: Growth reflects pro-growth reforms, capex push, and resilience. Points to broad-based expansion in manufacturing + services. Structural Factors Behind Strong Real GDP Corporate profits-to-GDP at record high → productivity gains. Formal sector expansion. PLI incentives boosting manufacturing. Public capex multiplier sustaining investment cycle. Digital public infrastructure reducing transaction costs. Broader Macroeconomic Implications Monetary Policy Low inflation + high real growth complicate RBI decisions. Real vs nominal divergence challenges interpretation. External Sector Booming services exports. Manufacturing exports slowed due to global uncertain demand. Labour Market PLFS urban unemployment: improving. Rural labour stress persists. First-Half FY26 Outlook H1 FY26 growth = 8%. India continues to be the fastest-growing major economy. Kerala’s population to rise till 2041, then fall: report Why is this in News? A new national-level demographic report “Unravelling India’s Demographic Future (2021–2051)” has been released by: International Institute of Migration and Development (IIMAD), Thiruvananthapuram Population Foundation of India (PFI) Principal investigators: Prof. S. Irudaya Rajan, J. Retnakumar. The report highlights that Kerala will remain India’s oldest State till 2051, with rapid ageing, sub-replacement fertility, and extraordinary urbanisation. Provides low, medium, high variant projections for all major States using the Cohort Component Method. Relevance GS 1 – Society / Demographics • Ageing population, median age, old-age dependency ratio. • Fertility trends (TFR), life expectancy, demographic transition phases. • Urbanisation: rural–urban migration, urban planning challenges. GS 2 – Governance / Social Policy • Elderly care policies, healthcare infrastructure, pension systems. • Labour force planning, skill development, automation/AI adaptation. • Migration and workforce integration policies. Key Demographic Concepts Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Average number of children per woman. Replacement level in India ≈ 2.1. Kerala projected to hit TFR = 1.4 (floor level) by 2051 → irreversible ageing. Life Expectancy Expected years of life at birth. Kerala increases from 75.1 years (2026) → 82.9 years (2051). Median Age Age that divides the population into two equal halves. Kerala → rises from 37 years (2026) to 47 years (2051) → advanced ageing. Old-Age Dependency Ratio Ratio of elderly (60+) to working-age population. Kerala’s high ageing → rising dependency burden. Cohort Component Method Gold-standard projection technique using: Fertility Mortality Migration Applied to 22 States with >6 million population (based on Census 2011). Kerala’s Population Trend (2021–2051) Growth Trajectory 2011: 3.34 crore 2026: 3.58 crore 2041: 3.62 crore (peak) 2051: 3.55 crore (decline begins) Core Insight Kerala’s population peaks by 2041 → then declines → enters Phase 3 Demographic Transition (post-mature society). Ageing Profile: India’s Oldest State 60+ Population Share 2026: 18.6% 2051: 30.6% (nearly 1 in 3 Keralites will be elderly) 80+ Oldest-Old 2021: ~2% 2051: 6.4% (highest in India) Next: Tamil Nadu at 5.2% Children (0–14 years) 2021: 19.3% (lowest in India) 2051: declines further → sustained low birth rates. Comparison with Other States Bihar Will remain India’s youngest State. Child share in 2051: 22.6% (highest) Kerala: 12.8% (lowest) Demographic Divergence Kerala → ageing, shrinking workforce, high life expectancy. Bihar → youthful population, delayed demographic transition. Urbanisation Trend Urban-Rural Ratio 2011: Urban 47.7%, Rural 52.3% 2051: Urban 91.1%, Rural 8.9% Interpretation Kerala shifts from mixed to almost fully urban State. Urbanisation driven by: Declining rural fertility Out-migration Reclassification of settlements Service-sector concentrated growth Data Sources Used Census of India (2011) Sample Registration System (SRS) National Family Health Survey (NFHS) Civil Registration System (CRS) National Sample Survey (NSS) Factors Behind Kerala’s Demographic Structure Low Fertility (TFR → 1.4) High female literacy. Women’s workforce participation in services. High cost of child upbringing. Norm of small families. High Life Expectancy Public health success (Arogya Kerala model). High health spending, low IMR, high institutional births. Out-migration Large-scale Gulf migration. Decline in young working-age cohorts. Challenges Emerging from Kerala’s Demographic Future Economic Challenges Shrinking workforce → lower economic dynamism. Rising pension burden. Healthcare cost explosion (geriatrics, NCDs). Skill shortages in labour-intensive sectors. Social Challenges Elderly care infrastructure shortages. Increase in single-person elderly households. Feminisation of ageing (women live longer). Fiscal Challenges Social security spending to rise sharply. Health insurance costs escalate. Need for migrant labour → integration issues. Opportunities Silver economy: healthcare, assistive tech, geriatric services. High human capital base → knowledge economy growth. Automation and high-skilled sectors offset workforce decline. Policy Recommendations Short- to Medium-Term Strengthen elderly care ecosystem. Expand palliative care and home-based services. Incentivise higher female workforce participation. Promote healthy ageing programmes. Long-term Structural Immigration policy (regulated influx of migrant workers). Urban infrastructure expansion for 90%+ urban population. Productivity enhancement via automation and AI. Scholars like Irudaya Rajan, P.V. Sukhatme, and Dyson & Visaria emphasise that Kerala is moving towards European-style ageing but without European-style economic buffers, making policy innovation crucial. NISAR earth observation satellite enters final science phase Why Is This in News? ISRO announced that NISAR, launched in July 2025, has now entered the Science Phase of its mission. During this phase: The satellite begins full-scale science operations, regular orbit maintenance, and calibration–validation activities. ISRO confirmed that the S-Band SAR is already regularly imaging the Indian landmass, while the 12-metre antenna reflector is fully deployed. NISAR is also in news as TTD former chairman Y.V. Subba Reddy appeared before CID in a separate case, but the ISRO update is about mission progress. Relevance GS 3 – Science & Technology • Satellite tech: dual-frequency SAR, L-band & S-band, 12m antenna deployment. • Space applications: Earth observation, disaster management, agriculture, forestry, water resources. • Climate & environment: glacier monitoring, sea-level rise, Himalayan hydrology. GS 2 – International Relations / Science Diplomacy • India–US collaboration: strategic technology partnership, global Earth observation leadership. What is NISAR? Definition NISAR = NASA–ISRO Synthetic Aperture Radar Mission World’s first dual-frequency SAR Earth Observation satellite (L-band + S-band). Lead Agencies Jointly developed by: ISRO (India) → S-Band SAR NASA (US) → L-Band SAR Launch 30 July 2025, Satish Dhawan Space Centre, Sriharikota. Orbit Near-polar sun-synchronous orbit (~747 km). Mission Life 5 years (science phase extends till end of mission). Technical Architecture Dual-Frequency SAR L-Band (NASA): penetrates vegetation, soil, ice. S-Band (ISRO): surface deformation, crop monitoring, infrastructure. 12-metre deployable antenna reflector One of the largest radar antennas ever flown. Enables high spatial resolution and wide swath imaging. All-weather, day-night capability Microwave radar → can image through: Clouds Smoke Rain Darkness Imaging Revisit Time High-frequency monitoring, enabling global landmass coverage every 12 days. Mission Phases (ISRO Classification) 1. Launch Phase Liftoff, orbit insertion. 2. Deployment Phase Deployment of the 12-m reflector. Activation of payloads. 3. Commissioning Phase Sensor checks, calibration, orbit tuning. 4. Science Phase (Now Started) Full operational data acquisition. Regular manoeuvres to maintain science orbit. Intensive calibration/validation with global sites. Applications (High UPSC Relevance) A. Climate and Earth System Monitoring Ice-sheet movement (Greenland, Antarctica). Glacier mass balance → crucial for Himalayan hydrology. Sea-level rise predictions. B. Disaster Management Earthquakes → crustal deformation mapping. Landslides → early detection. Flood mapping → all-weather real-time imaging. Cyclone damage assessment. C. Agriculture Crop type mapping. Soil moisture. Pest/drought early warning. Crop insurance verification. D. Forests & Carbon Cycle Biomass estimation. Deforestation tracking. REDD+ compliance monitoring. E. Infrastructure Monitoring Detecting land subsidence. Monitoring roads, dams, mines. Urban expansion mapping. F. Water Resources Wetland mapping. River morphology changes (erosion/deposition). Significance for India Strategic High-quality indigenous Earth observation dataset. Reduces dependence on foreign satellites for disaster response. Scientific Enhances global models for: Climate change Plate tectonics Cryosphere studies Economic Improves crop yield forecasting. Enables precision agriculture. Helps insurance, infrastructure planning. Diplomatic / Technology Partnership One of the largest NASA–ISRO collaborations since the 1970s. Enhances India’s leadership in Earth observation. ISRO’s Progress Update (From News Context) S-Band SAR: Already imaging Indian landmass and major global calibration sites. Reflector: Fully deployed and operational. Orbit maintenance: Ongoing during science phase. Next steps: Large-scale global data distribution and joint NASA–ISRO science campaigns. WHO calls on countries to make fertility care safer and affordable Why Is This in News? WHO released its first-ever global guideline on prevention, diagnosis, and treatment of infertility. It provides 40 evidence-based recommendations aimed at making fertility care: safer equitable affordable integrated into national health systems WHO highlighted that global demand for infertility care is increasing, but access remains severely limited and expensive. Relevance GS 2 – Health Governance • Public health: infertility as a health condition, integration into national health systems. • Health policy: financial protection, universal access, low-cost infertility care. • Regulatory framework: ART Act 2021, Surrogacy Act 2021. GS 1 – Society / Social Issues • Gender equity: reducing stigma, psychosocial support for couples. • Social impact: awareness, education, equitable access to fertility care. What Is Infertility? WHO definition Failure to achieve pregnancy after 12 months or more of regular unprotected sexual intercourse. Prevalence Global prevalence: 1 in 6 individuals (WHO 2023 estimate). Affects both men and women. Types Primary infertility: never conceived. Secondary infertility: difficulty conceiving after a previous pregnancy. Why WHO Released the Guideline? (Context) A. Rising burden Demand for infertility services rising due to: delayed marriage lifestyle changes declining fertility rates higher prevalence of STIs environmental exposures B. Extreme financial burden In many countries, infertility care is out-of-pocket. WHO notes: A single IVF cycle can cost twice the average annual household income in some regions. C. Lack of standardised protocols Large variation in: diagnosis treatment safety standards ethical regulation D. Mental health impact Infertility often causes: depression anxiety stigma Key Features of WHO’s Global Guideline (i) Prevention Address major risk factors: untreated STIs tobacco use obesity and sedentary lifestyle Lifestyle interventions recommended: balanced diet physical activity tobacco cessation Promote fertility education: Schools Primary healthcare Reproductive health facilities (ii) Diagnosis Encourage cost-effective diagnostic tools: basic semen analysis ovulation testing ultrasound STI screening Strengthen referral pathways and documentation. (iii) Treatment Progressive, stepwise approach: simple interventions first then intrauterine insemination (IUI) then IVF/ICSI if necessary Ensure: safety quality control evidence-based protocols (iv) Financial Protection Integrate infertility care into: national health strategies insurance schemes public health financing (v) Psychosocial Support Continuous mental health support for: individuals couples Recognise emotional, social, and marital stress. (vi) Country Adaptation Countries urged to: localise guidelines monitor implementation address resource constraints Global Barriers Highlighted by WHO A. Cost Infertility treatment = catastrophic expenditure for most households. B. Limited availability Fertility services concentrated in urban private facilities. C. Gender bias Women face disproportionate blame. D. Regulatory gaps Many countries lack: ART regulation quality standards ethical oversight Significance of the Guidelines For Public Health Recognises infertility as a health condition, not a lifestyle choice. Strengthens universal access to reproductive healthcare. For Gender Equity Reduces stigma and blame assigned mainly to women. For Economy Financial protection prevents: debt traps catastrophic health spending For LMICs Offers low-cost, scalable models for fertility care. For Sustainable Development Goals Supports: SDG 3 (Health & Well-being) SDG 5 (Gender Equality) Indian Context Burden Estimated 27.5 million infertile couples (ICMR). Obesity, PCOS, diabetes, late marriages → rising infertility. Access ART (Assisted Reproductive Technologies) expensive: IVF cost: 1.25–2.5 lakh per cycle Mostly urban-centric Insurance coverage minimal Regulatory Framework ART Act, 2021 Surrogacy (Regulation) Act, 2021 Gaps Absence of: affordable public-sector ART standardised counselling infertility awareness in primary care Benefit of WHO Guidelines to India Can help expand: public fertility clinics insurance-based ART packages standardised, ethical protocols CPCB reporting heavy metal contamination in Delhi’s groundwater. Why is this in News? The Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) released its 2024 groundwater assessment, revealing: Delhi has the 3rd highest uranium contamination in India. Heavy metals and salinity indicators (EC, fluoride, nitrate, arsenic, iron, lead) exceed permissible limits in a large share of samples. High-risk zones include areas dependent on borewells and handpumps. The findings indicate major drinking water safety concerns, with serious public health implications. Relevance GS 3 – Environment • Groundwater contamination: uranium, fluoride, arsenic, lead, EC, SAR, RSC. • Impact on soil and agriculture: irrigation suitability, soil salinisation, crop productivity. • Climate & hydrology: urban aquifer depletion, reduced natural recharge. GS 2 – Governance / Public Health Policy • Regulatory oversight: CPCB monitoring, drinking water safety standards. • Urban management: sewage treatment, industrial effluent control, safe borewell practices. What is Groundwater Contamination? Groundwater contamination occurs when chemicals, heavy metals, salts, or pathogens seep into aquifers. Key contamination sources: Natural geogenic leaching (e.g., uranium, arsenic from rock formations) Anthropogenic pollution: industrial effluents, fertilizers, sewage, landfills. Measured through: Electrical Conductivity (EC) – salinity indicator. SAR & RSC – irrigation water quality. Heavy metals – arsenic, uranium, lead, iron, fluoride, nitrate. Key Findings (CPCB 2024) 1. Uranium contamination Limit: 0.03 mg/L Delhi sample exceedance: 12.4% Delhi = 3rd highest in India (after Assam and Rajasthan). Uranium contamination is rising in the Yamuna floodplain and Najafgarh belt. 2. Electrical Conductivity (EC) Limit: 3000 µS/cm Delhi exceedance: 33.3% Indicates high salinity in groundwater. 3. SAR (Sodium Adsorption Ratio) Delhi showed one of the worst values in India. 178.9 SAR reported at some locations. 48.3% of samples exceeded limits. 4. RSC (Residual Sodium Carbonate) 51.1% of Delhi samples exceeded limits. Highest in the country. 5. Heavy Metals Fluoride exceedance: 17.8% Iron exceedance: 8.9% Lead exceedance: 3.7% Nitrate exceedance: 4.4% Arsenic → detected but lower exceedance. Why is Delhi’s Groundwater Contaminated? Over-extraction leading to saline intrusion. Urban sewage and industrial discharge infiltrating aquifers. Geogenic factors — natural uranium-bearing granites. Land use change & concretisation → reduced natural recharge. Use of fertilizers in peri-urban agriculture (nitrate pathways). Public Health Risks Uranium Kidney toxicity Higher cancer risk Neurological impairment Nitrate Blue Baby Syndrome (methemoglobinemia) Gastrointestinal distress Fluoride Dental and skeletal fluorosis Lead Cognitive impairment in children Hypertension Iron Promotes harmful bacteria growth Taste & odor issues High EC / Salinity Cardiovascular issues Water unfit for drinking or irrigation High SAR / RSC Soil degradation Crop productivity collapse Environmental & Agricultural Implications Irrigation unsuitability: Delhi among worst for SAR & RSC. Soil salinisation threatens peri-urban agriculture. Reduced crop yields due to sodic soils. Aquifer degradation may become irreversible. Bharat NCAP 2.0. Why is this in News? The Ministry of Road Transport & Highways (MoRTH) has released a revised draft of Bharat NCAP 2.0. It significantly expands safety assessment, introduces new mandatory tests, revises test protocols, and alters scoring weightages. It aims to improve passenger, child, and pedestrian safety in line with global crash-test standards. The update is crucial because over 20% of road accident deaths in India involve pedestrians. Relevance GS 3 – Infrastructure / Transport • Road safety: vehicle crashworthiness, pedestrian & child safety, post-crash protection. • Technology standards: ATDs, ADAS, crash-test protocols, global NCAP alignment. GS 2 – Governance / Policy Implementation • Regulatory policy: voluntary vs mandatory adoption, incentive structures for manufacturers. • Consumer awareness: informed decision-making, public safety promotion. What is Bharat NCAP? Bharat NCAP = India’s voluntary crash-test and safety rating system, launched in 2023. Objective: Provide India-specific safety ratings for cars. Encourage manufacturers to improve safety. Help consumers make informed choices. Cars receive ratings based on crashworthiness (not general roadworthiness). Conducted by Central Institute of Road Transport (CIRT, Pune). Ratings displayed voluntarily by manufacturers for marketing & consumer awareness. How Are Vehicles Tested? (Old System – 2023) Cars were assessed on three key verticals: Adult Occupant Protection (AOP) Child Occupant Protection (COP) Safety Assist Technologies (SAT) Crash tests included: 64 km/h frontal impact against deformable barrier 50 km/h side impact 29 km/h pole (oblique) impact What Changes in Bharat NCAP 2.0? 1. Scope significantly expanded New system proposes five assessment areas: Safe Driving – 10% weightage Accident Avoidance – 10% Crash Protection – 55% Vulnerable Road User (VRU) Protection – 20% Post-Crash Safety – 5% 2. Mandatory crash tests increased Earlier mandatory tests: 3 Now expanded to 5: 64 km/h frontal impact 50 km/h lateral impact 32 km/h mobile deformable barrier test 32 km/h oblique side impact (rigid pole) 50 km/h frontal impact with full-width rigid barrier 3. Introduction of new assessment areas New 2025 draft adds three safety domains that were absent earlier: More comprehensive Safety Assist Technologies Fully structured Pedestrian & VRU Protection Vertical (20% weight) A structured Post-Crash Protection vertical 4. Revised weightage 5-star: now requires at least 65 points (earlier 70) 4-star: now 60 points (earlier 60–70) AOP score must be ≥55% of Crash Protection Vertical For 1-star → 30 points, 2-star/3-star → 40/50 points 5. New dummies Tests will now use advanced “Anthropomorphic Test Devices” (ATDs) for: rear-seat passengers child occupants 6. VRU (Pedestrian) Safety Added India has one of the world’s highest pedestrian fatalities (20%+ road deaths). Bharat NCAP 2.0 brings: pedestrian headform impact tests leg, upper leg impact tests bonnet & bumper energy absorption tests Why Bharat NCAP 2.0 Matters? 1. Enhances vehicle safety Compels manufacturers to add: stronger structure more airbags ADAS features safer child restraint systems 2. Improves pedestrian safety Pedestrian impact tests push automakers to redesign: bonnet geometry bumper absorption external crumple zones 3. Market push toward safer cars Indian consumers increasingly look for crash-test ratings. Manufacturers will upgrade vehicles to display better Bharat NCAP stars. 4. Regulatory alignment with global norms Moves India closer to: Global NCAP Euro NCAP ASEAN NCAP Potential Issues / Challenges Voluntary nature → not applicable to all models. Additional costs for manufacturers. Rating visibility only when automakers opt-in. Some small car segments may face price pressure.